Wednesday, October 3, 2007

John Lackey vs. Josh Beckett

A lot of stats have been thrown around today about Lackey's pitching (in)ability against the Red Sox. I can't find any two stats which agree, so I thought I'd do my own analysis.

This season Lackey has won 19 games for the Angels with a 3.01 ERA and 179 Ks.
This season Beckett has won 20 games for the Sox with a 3.27 ERA and 194 Ks.

John Lackey pitching in games against the Sox in 2007

  W  L  G  GS CG SHO GF SV   IP   H   R   ER  BB  SO HR   ERA  HBP WP BK
+--+--+---+--+--+---+--+--+-----+---+---+---+---+---+--+------+---+--+--+
0 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 9.2 20 10 9 1 9 2 8.38 1 0 0

Josh Beckett pitching in games 142, 162

  W  L  G  GS CG SHO GF SV   IP   H   R   ER  BB  SO HR   ERA  HBP WP BK
+--+--+---+--+--+---+--+--+-----+---+---+---+---+---+--+------+---+--+--+
1 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 13 11 3 2 2 13 1 1.38 1 0 0
2007 - Red Sox Batters against John Lackey
                    **PA**  AB  H  2B 3B HR RBI  BB  SO   BA   OBP   SLG   OPS   SH  SF IBB HBP GDP G_miss YR_miss
+-----------------+-------+---+---+--+--+--+---+---+---+-----+-----+-----+-----+---+---+---+---+---+------+-------+
J.D. Drew 6 5 4 0 1 0 1 1 1 .800 .833 1.200 2.033 0 0 0 0 0
Mike Lowell 6 6 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 .333 .333 .333 .666 0 0 0 0 0
David Ortiz 6 6 3 0 0 1 3 0 2 .500 .500 1.000 1.500 0 0 0 0 0
Dustin Pedroia 6 6 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 .333 .333 .500 .833 0
   0   0   0   0             
Manny Ramirez 6 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 .200 .333 .200 .533 0 0 0 1 0
Kevin Youkilis 6 6 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 .333 .333 .333 .666 0 0 0 0 0
Coco Crisp 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
Doug Mirabelli 4 4 3 1 0 1 3 0 1 .750 .750 1.750 2.500 0 0 0 0 0
Julio Lugo 3 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 .667 .667 1.000 1.667 0 0 0 0 0
Alex Cora 2 2 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 .500 .500 1.000 1.500 0 0 0 0 0
Jason Varitek 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
+-----------------+-------+---+---+--+--+--+---+---+---+-----+-----+-----+-----+---+---+---+---+---+------+-------+
So what does this mean? Is Coco going to be sitting (0-5) in favor of Ellsbury who might light this guy up? I doubt it. Crip's lifetime BA against Lackey is .182, not exactly great, eh? Will Tek be sitting (0-1) in favor of Mirabelli (3-4) - is this why we have so many catchers in our ALDS roster? I doubt it. Varitek's lifetime BA against Lackey is .278, that's a bit better.


2007 - Angels Batters against Josh Beckett
                    **PA**  AB  H  2B 3B HR RBI  BB  SO   BA   OBP   SLG   OPS   SH  SF IBB HBP GDP G_miss YR_miss
+-----------------+-------+---+---+--+--+--+---+---+---+-----+-----+-----+-----+---+---+---+---+---+------+-------+
Orlando Cabrera 7 6 2 0 0 1 1 1 2 .333 .429 .833 1.262 0 0 0 0 0
Garret Anderson 6 5 3 1 0 0 0 1 0 .600 .667 .800 1.467 0 0 0 0 0
Maicer Izturis 5 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 .200 .200 .200 .400 0 0 0 0 0
Chone Figgins 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
Vladimir Guerrero 4 3 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 .333 .500 .667 1.167 0 0 0 1 0
Nathan Haynes 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0
   0   0   0   0             
Howie Kendrick 3 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .333 .333 .333 .666 0 0 0 0 0
Casey Kotchman 3 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 .333 .333 .333 .666 0 0 0 0 0
Robb Quinlan 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
Mike Napoli 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
Reggie Willits 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
+-----------------+-------+---+---+--+--+--+---+---+---+-----+-----+-----+-----+---+---+---+---+---+------+-------+
All I can say is it LOOKS good on paper for the Sox, but we all know what can happen in this crazy game. GO SOX!!!!!!

And in exciting (for us girls!) news, Babe Kapler will be sharing his thoughts on the Red Sox during the 2007 playoffs!

1 comment:

s1c said...

I want a sweep!

Soxy, we'll be having a good conversation going on at Joy of Sox.

Come by and join us, it should be fun!!!